Market Study & Demand Analysis

South Vine District,
Kansas City

An institutional market analysis supporting 500 Together.Homes KC — a $50 million master revolving facility financing a 500-home development delivered in five phases over 30 months in the urban core of Kansas City, Missouri. Anchored by an independent third-party USPAP appraisal consultation from Todd Appraisal, with HUD, MARC, and Census data.

Sponsor: Scale-Built Housing KCIndependent Appraisal: Todd Appraisal — Restricted ConsultationEffective Date: April 13, 2026

Where this is

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At the center of the country

Kansas City sits at the geographic and logistical heart of the United States. This is where the South Vine District is.

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Into the Kansas City metro

The metro spans two states — but the project sits firmly on the Missouri (KCMO) side, east of the state line.

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Amenities & anchors

The site isn't on the edge of the city — it's ringed by Kansas City's primary jobs, culture, and medical anchors, including the proposed downtown Royals ballpark. Hover any anchor to light it up on the map — or hover a dot on the map to find it in the list.

  • Eastside Lumber — the siteOur location
  • Proposed Downtown Royals Ballpark~1.5 mi N · ~5 min
  • Downtown / Power & Light~1.8 mi N · ~6 min
  • Crossroads Arts District~1.5 mi NW · ~5 min
  • Union Station / Crown Center~1.3 mi W · ~5 min
  • 18th & Vine Jazz District~0.7 mi N · ~3 min
  • Hospital Hill · Truman / Children's Mercy~0.7 mi W · ~3 min

Distances approximate, straight-line from the site.

Downtown KC jobs & economic dashboard →

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The neighborhoods around it

The site sits inside the historic East Side — framed by the 18th & Vine jazz district, Beacon Hill, and the Crossroads, with Downtown and the proposed Royals stadium just north. Hover a neighborhood to outline it on the map, or hover the map to find it in the list.

  • Vine Street CorridorResidential
  • Wendell PhillipsResidential
  • Washington WheatleyResidential
  • Historic 18th & Vine Jazz DistrictCultural district
  • Beacon HillRedevelopment analog
  • Beacon Hill IIRedevelopment analog
  • Crossroads Arts DistrictArts district
  • Hospital HillMedical
  • Crown CenterMixed-use
  • Downtown CBDBusiness district
  • Royals Downtown StadiumProposed stadium

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70-Acre South Vine District

Part of the historic 18th & Vine area on Kansas City's East Side. The build-out is phased across the district:

  • Where we're starting — Phase 1 (owned today)
  • Future Phase 2
  • 30 acres of park & amenity space

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SoVi District — Phase 1

Outlined in red is what we control today — our Phase 1 starting position. The full render behind it is the complete planned build-out: 500 homes across 25.67 acres, with parks — ringed by the surrounding jobs, culture and medical anchors.

  • What we own today — Phase 1 start
  • Full planned build-out (render)

At a Glance

500 homes. 30 months. One census tract.

500 Together.Homes KC concentrates 500 new-construction transactions in a single Kansas City census tract over 30 months — five phases of 100 homes, with Phase 1 complete by month 9. The scale and coordination are not incidental — they are the mechanism by which the development resets the comparable-sales pool and resolves the appraisal-comp deadlock that has blocked private capital from serving the East Side at scale.

500

Homes delivered in five phases over 30 months

$50M

Master revolving facility (development + land bank)

$422K

Blended sale price

84%

Workforce tier (88–113% AMI)

Scale-Built Housing demonstration homes — single-family, 3-flat, townhome, and duplex typologies with square footage, bed/bath counts, and AMI bands
Scale-Built Housing demonstration product lineup — the single-family, 3-flat/townhome, and duplex typologies that deliver the tier mix below.
Tier
Home Type
Units
Price Range
AMI Band
Workforce
3- & 5-unit townhomes
420 (84%)
$336K – $433K
88–113% AMI
Market
Duplex
40 (8%)
$547K – $658K
143–172% AMI
Custom
Single Family
40 (8%)
$799K – $941K
209–246% AMI

These tiers leverage similar footprints and building layouts to increase the density of housing options while preserving the overall scale and character of the neighborhood.

South Vine District 500-unit site plan — block-by-block layout across 25.67 acres with the unit-type and AMI mix, 114 lots, neighborhood parks, a learning center, and a solar array
South Vine District site plan — 500 units across 25.67 acres (114 lots at 15.6 units/acre), showing the block-by-block distribution of single-family, duplex, 3-flat, and townhome product.

The Demand

The shortage is structural and quantified.

HUD CHAS, MARC, and the Mid-America Regional Council document a regional housing shortage that exceeds the 500 Together.Homes KC development by orders of magnitude. The 500-home development addresses roughly 2–3% of the KC CBSA attainable-housing gap (60–120% AMI) — large enough to reset the local comp pool, small enough that oversupply risk is not material.

64,000

Affordable units short across the KC region

MARC, Apr 2023

89%

Of ELI renters in KC cannot find affordable housing

MARC, May 2024

76%

Of KC ELI renters severely cost-burdened (>50% income)

MARC, May 2024

46,000

Rental units needed to cover ELI cost burden

MARC, May 2024

10,000

LIHTC units aging out of affordability over next decade

Industry tracking

−47%

Drop in KC sub-$1,000/mo rentals (2015–2024)

Industry tracking

The Supply Gap

KCMO has lagged. The urban core has nothing in the pipeline.

The independent consulting study (Appendix A) is direct: “The City of Kansas City, Missouri has lagged notably behind in this regard, issuing relatively few permits compared to population size.” Within the South Vine PMA specifically, no entitled or in-construction project represents competing supply at the development's scale and price point.

Existing Stock

100+ year median age

A bifurcated market: distressed inventory trading $30K–$80K (Land Bank, foreclosure) vs. renovated stock trading $130K–$250K with strong velocity.

New Construction

Scattered infill only

PMA new-construction permits 2020–2025 limited to projects of fewer than 10 units. No project at the development's scale exists in the entitled pipeline.

Vacancy Rate

14.7% in subject footprint

Substantial KC Land Bank inventory and elevated foreclosure rate provide site acquisition opportunity through partnership channels.

U.S. Census / ACS, South Vine PMA tracts

Tenure Mix

96.2% renter (Paseo West)

Very high renter concentration represents a large pool of first-time-buyer candidates currently unable to access for-sale product at qualifying price points.

U.S. Census / ACS, Paseo West block group

Subject footprint vs. urban core. The figures above describe the distressed subject tracts specifically. At the broader urban-core scale, the independent Todd Appraisal documents a fundamentally healthy rental market — multifamily vacancy near 8.3% (long-term equilibrium) and roughly 54% renter tenure. The contrast is the opportunity: durable, demand-rich rental fundamentals surrounding a distressed footprint that remains available for site acquisition and redevelopment.

The Coherence Thesis

500 homes don't respond to the comp pool. They become the comp pool.

The independent consulting study introduces a coherence-based value framework: land value within the Primary Market Cohort is “not static, but contingent upon the structure and coordination of development activity.” 500 Together.Homes KC is the operational vehicle that delivers high-coherence development at scale.

Low Coherence

~10% discount

Isolated infill anchored to inconsistent distressed-sale transactions. The status quo that has prevented private capital from entering at scale.

Moderate Coherence

0–10% premium

Clustered projects, partial alignment in product type and timing. Emerging market structure begins to support pricing.

High Coherence (500 Together.Homes KC)

15–30% premium

Coordinated development comparable to greenfield delivery. The appraisal places the premium at 15–30% above baseline, “most pronounced in larger parcels” — a single sponsor delivering 500 transactions in one tract over 30 months.

“When 500 new homes transact within a single census tract over 30 months, they become the dominant price-setter in that tract. Appraisers must use them as primary comps. The distance-to-comps problem evaporates because the comps now exist at 0.1–0.3 miles.”

The Keystone Improvement

The appraisal identifies a keystone improvement — a centrally located multifamily or light-commercial anchor — as the first credible signal to the market. Once delivered, it de-risks the surrounding parcels and sets pricing across the entire development, letting downstream lots transact at supported rather than speculative values.

Value Created by Coordination

+125–200%

The appraisal documents that bulk land transforms to finished-lot value at a 125–200%+ uplift as infrastructure, entitlement, and execution risk are absorbed — the quantified payoff of coherent, coordinated delivery.

Pricing

Priced to workforce cost — anchored to buyer income, not distressed comps.

New-construction comparables in the broader urban core trade at $218–$230/SF and set the new-construction floor. 500 Together.Homes KC is priced to cost as workforce housing — a blended $302/SF across a family-oriented product mix with larger 3-bedroom footprints than the 980–1,150 SF comps. The premium over the comp band sits inside the coherence premium documented above plus the unit-size adjustment. Affordability is anchored to buyer income rather than the distressed comp pool: 375 of the 500 homes price at 88–99% of area median income — at or below the median-income household — qualifying at standard mortgage terms with 5% down.

Submarket
Median Sale
$/SF (Existing)
DOM
Blue Hills
$110K–$171K
$117–$126
42 days
Marlborough
$105K–$126K
$102–$127
23 days
Wendell Phillips
$150K–$245K
$83–$98
30 days
New Construction (Forest Ave)
$225K–$250K
$218–$230

Source: KCRAR MLS extract, Redfin, Zillow, NeighborhoodScout, Realtor.com — Together.Homes Market Analysis Report, March 2026. Detailed transaction-level comp grid in Appendix D of the full PDF.

Affordability Path

The base already reaches below median income. Subsidy is how we reach deeper.

The 500-home development is underwritten as workforce housing that pencils on its own economics — priced to cost, with 375 of 500 homes at 88–99% of area median income and no reliance on subsidy to close the deal. That independence is the point: it makes the development financeable today. On top of that self-supporting base, the sponsor is assembling a dedicated affordability layer to extend a share of homes to 80% AMI and below, for buyers the market alone can't yet reach.

Chapter 353 abatement savings

The 25-year property-tax abatement lowers carrying cost. A portion of that saving can be redeployed as buyer down-payment assistance rather than kept as margin.

NPA tax credits

Missouri Neighborhood Preservation Act credits, realized per home at certificate of occupancy, can be ring-fenced to write down price for income-qualified buyers.

Philanthropic & family-office capital

An active Kansas City philanthropic pipeline — family offices and mission-aligned funders — can seed soft-second or gap financing for the deepest-affordability homes.

HOME funds & DPA

Federal HOME Investment Partnerships dollars, CDFI lending, and state/municipal down-payment assistance stack onto the base to widen the qualifying band.

Additive, not load-bearing. None of these tools is required for the development to work. Each one, as it's secured, deepens affordability further — turning a self-supporting workforce development into one that also reaches families at 80% AMI and below. The mechanics of each layer are being finalized with counsel and funders.

Tax Abatement Eligibility

The PMA tracts qualify on multiple, independent statutory tests.

Missouri Chapter 353 (Urban Redevelopment Corporations Law) and Chapter 99 (LCRA) both provide a 25-year property-tax abatement structure for designated “blighted” areas. The South Vine PMA satisfies multiple, independent tests under the statutory definition.

Standard KCMO Structure

75% / 10 yr + 37.5% / 15 yr

The standard abatement under both Chapter 353 and Chapter 99 (LCRA). Administered by the Economic Development Corporation of Kansas City (EDCKC).

Beacon Hill Precedent

100% / 10 + 50% / 15

The directly analogous Beacon Hill redevelopment received a 25-year Chapter 353 abatement under similar distressed-area conditions in the same district.

PMA qualification checklist

Median structure age >100 years

Statute requires ≥50 years

Vacancy rate 14.7%

Statute requires meaningfully elevated

Median family income ~40% of MSA median

QCT threshold ≤60% of AMI

Child poverty rate 57.8%

QCT threshold ≥25%

Mortgage denial rate 11.47% Black vs. 6.42% baseline

Capital-access disparity documented

KCMO MVA 2024 tier F/G designation

City reinvestment program eligibility tier

Fragmented ownership / unclear deed-of-record

Statute lists diversity of ownership as criterion

The Direct Analog

Beacon Hill proved East Side land could absorb new housing.

Beacon Hill — a ~90-acre, mixed-use redevelopment in the same East Side urban core district as the South Vine PMA — demonstrated that coordinated, abatement-supported residential production can shift a distressed submarket to active reinvestment. 500 Together.Homes KC is structured to replicate the absorption mechanism while addressing the affordability gap Beacon Hill did not.

~90

New homes delivered

~450

Multifamily units delivered

25 yr

Chapter 353 abatement (100%/10 + 50%/15)

Hotel + Retail

Mixed-use components delivered

The independent appraiser writes: “In strictly economic terms, Beacon Hill demonstrated that east side land could again command capital, absorb new housing, and support a premium tax base.”

500 Together.Homes KC inherits Beacon Hill's market-reentry mechanism but reframes the affordability outcome — 375 of its 500 homes price at 88–99% of area median income, at or below the median-income household, with a philanthropy- and credit-backed layer (see Affordability Path) that extends a share of homes to 80% AMI and below, addressing the distributional gap that Beacon Hill's market-rate orientation did not.

Independent Third-Party Review

A USPAP-credentialed appraiser reached the same conclusions independently.

The market analysis is anchored in an independent third-party Restricted Appraisal Consultation & Development Study prepared by Todd Appraisalin conformance with USPAP Advisory and Consulting Standards (effective April 13, 2026). The full final restricted report is provided to qualified reviewers through the controlled data room and provides independent validation of the 500 Together.Homes KC thesis from a source whose interests are not aligned with the sponsor's.

Market Area & Demand

Formal definition of South Vine District market boundaries; demand segmentation; affordability thresholds; tenure preferences; demographic characterization.

Supply & Pricing

KC MSA and urban core market conditions; capital markets; single-family and multifamily analyses; comparable sales framework; coherence-based value adjustments.

Highest & Best Use

Development scenario analysis; absorption potential; sensitivity to key assumptions; Beacon Hill case study; stadium-spillover analysis; keystone-improvement framework.

Read the Full Analysis

Demand. Supply. Pricing. Absorption.
Tax abatement. All documented.

The full Market Study & Demand Analysis is approximately 50 pages with six appendices, including the third-party USPAP consulting valuation, HUD CHAS tables, Census ACS pulls, and a complete map portfolio.

For institutional investors, senior lenders, and municipal partners evaluating 500 Together.Homes KC.

Disclosures.This page summarizes a sponsor-prepared Market Study & Demand Analysis. It is not a property appraisal under USPAP Standards 1 and 2, nor an offering document. It does not constitute a solicitation to invest. Offers may only be made under a separately delivered Private Placement Memorandum and subscription documents. Forward-looking statements regarding pricing and absorption are estimates based on current data and reasonable assumptions; actual results may differ materially. Tax-abatement eligibility is a sponsor assessment under existing Missouri statute and KCMO ordinance and is not a legal opinion; final designation rests with the City of Kansas City. Sources cited inline and in the full PDF. Back to together.homes.